Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 43

Severe Weather near Merritt Island

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 12 May 2026 at 02:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 103 recorded within 20 km of this point since 12 March 2026 — 50 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 10 May 2026. 17 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued May 11 at 9:05PM EDT until May 11 at 10:00PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL

An estimated 347,890 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 12 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)43 / 100
Our confidence80%
Coordinates28.3417, -80.4249
Nearest CityMerritt Island (26 km)
Population Exposed347.9K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-05-12T01:05:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Special Marine Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0ad0b80f5bff251fcdd59358edb4ac60

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescSebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm; Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm; Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm; Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm; Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued May 11 at 9:05PM EDT until May 11 at 10:00PM EDT by NWS Melbourne FL
Expires2026-05-11T22:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Melbourne FL
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0ad0b80f5bff251fcdd59358edb4ac60e349dc89.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.79759127ee5a48f2c549974053e6337b53e0c04c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5169bf06aa9028ef13c25f065702c393fb135dac.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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